Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.794786 2.156616 2.563709 3.054308 3.628093 4.276456 5.063052
2025-12-28 1.339535 1.815322 2.409042 3.198648 4.214743 5.471151 7.134205
2026-01-04 1.037676 1.555276 2.258953 3.272733 4.680447 6.548134 9.191718
2026-01-11 0.854633 1.396344 2.188258 3.407904 5.210701 7.742908 11.524333
2026-01-18 0.691640 1.223096 2.052997 3.409942 5.529665 8.659085 13.553856
2026-01-25 0.546187 1.041667 1.865203 3.289140 5.629929 9.246473 15.145092
2026-02-01 0.435322 0.892062 1.697194 3.163717 5.690513 9.759729 16.652832
2026-02-08 0.366518 0.802007 1.611683 3.156943 5.932749 10.568953 18.686356
2026-02-15 0.312900 0.728832 1.542068 3.163395 6.190602 11.419056 20.853876
2026-02-22 0.264182 0.654580 1.456532 3.124691 6.357507 12.122944 22.829393
2026-03-01 0.213040 0.563217 1.320491 2.966185 6.279193 12.382916 24.050009
2026-03-08 0.181198 0.508357 1.249699 2.925566 6.416014 13.034809 26.013114
2026-03-15 0.155523 0.463218 1.193775 2.911039 6.609250 13.822258 28.320138
2026-03-22 0.145646 0.456233 1.223046 3.084965 7.206733 15.433542 32.306378
2026-03-29 0.131344 0.433996 1.212560 3.168131 7.622735 16.728043 35.793868
2026-04-05 0.121433 0.421705 1.224076 3.303126 8.164170 18.317310 39.979434
2026-04-12 0.106500 0.390790 1.182892 3.306269 8.413512 19.332650 43.103178
2026-04-19 0.088856 0.346533 1.098201 3.189144 8.374741 19.743045 45.030967
2026-04-26 0.073899 0.306499 1.016949 3.067280 8.308148 20.083920 46.835821
2026-05-03 0.064904 0.284264 0.981876 3.060726 8.515303 21.033726 49.990940
2026-05-10 0.057458 0.265417 0.953192 3.067010 8.754031 22.072189 53.412048
2026-05-17 0.049871 0.243627 0.911145 3.029375 8.877133 22.857983 56.337972
2026-05-24 0.040794 0.212636 0.833115 2.875250 8.680143 22.886079 57.580159